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Volume

45

Issue

3

23

Source: Energy Intelligence Briefing Feb. 19, 2019.

* include 0.2 million b/d of oil needed to fill up the supply system for crude and products, and strategic

reserves.

On the supply side, preliminary estimates show that world oil supplies for January 2019

decreased by 0.8% or 0.8 million b/d, comparing with the previous month to reach 100.4

million b/d, representing an increase of 2.8 million b/d from their last year level.

In January 2019, OPEC crude oil and NGLs/condensates total supplies decreased by 1.6%

or 0.6million b/d, comparing with the previous month to reach 36.2million b/d, representing

a decrease of 0.8 million b/d from their last year level. And preliminary estimates show

that Non-OPEC supplies decreased by 0.3% or 0.2 million b/d, comparing with the previous

month to reach 64.2 million b/d, representing an increase of 3.6 million b/d from their last

year level.

Preliminary estimates of the supply and demand for January 2019 reveal a surplus

of 0.7 million b/d, compared to a surplus of 0.8 million b/d in December 2018 and a shortage

of 1.3 million b/d in January 2018, as shown in

table (2)

and

figure (6)

:

Table 2

World Oil Supply and Demand

(Million b/d)

January

2019

December

2018

Change from

December

2018

January

2018

Change from

January

2018

OECD Demand

47.4

48.6

-1.2

47.2

0.2

Rest of the World

*

52.5

51.8

0.7

51.6

0.9

World Demand

99.8

100.4

-0.6

98.9

1.0

OPEC Supply :

36.2

36.8

-0.6

37.0

-0.8

Crude Oil

30.6

31.3

-0.7

31.6

-0.1

NGLs & Cond.

5.6

5.5

0.1

5.4

0.2

Non-OPEC Supply

61.8

62.0

-0.2

58.2

3.6

Processing Gain

2.4

2.4

0.0

2.4

0.0

World Supply

100.4 101.2

-0.8

97.6

2.8

Balance

0.7

0.8

-1.3