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Volume 41 Issue 10

25

1. Oil Market

1. Prices

1-1Crude Oil Prices

Weekly average price of OPEC basket decreased during the first week

of August 2015, recording $47.7/bbl, and continued to decline thereafter ,

to reach its lowest level of $41.8/bbl during the fourth week, as shown in

figure 1

:

Petroleum Developments in the World Market and Member Countries

*

*

Prepared by the Economics Department.

Key Indicators

In August 2015,

OPEC Reference Basket decreased

by 16.1% or $8.7/bbl from the previous month level to

stand at $45.5/bbl.

World Oil Demand

in August 2015,

decreased

by 0.5% or 0.5 million b/d from the previous month level to

reach95.5 million b/d.

World oil supplies

in August 2015,

increased

by 0.6% or 0.6 million b/d from the previous month level to

reach 98.5 million b/d.

US tight oil production

in August 2015,

decreased

by 1.4% to reach 5.4 million b/d. whereas

US oil rig

count

increased

by 9 rig from the previous month level to stand at 588 rig.

US crude oil imports

in July 2015,

increased

by 7.3% from the previous month level to reach 7.5 million

b/d, whereas

US product imports decreased

by

4.6% to reach about 2.1 million b/d.

OECD commercial inventories

in July 2015

increased

by 18 million barrels from the previous month level

to reach 2923 million barrels

,

and

Strategic inventories

in OECD-34, South Africa and China

increased

by 3 million barrels from the previous month level to reach 1858 million barrels.

The average spot price of natural gas

at the Henry Hub in August 2015

decreased

by $0.25/million BTU

from previous month level to reach $2.63/ million BTU.

The Price of Japanese LNG imports increased

in July 2015 by $0.3/m BTU to reach $8.9/m BTU, whereas

the

Price of Korean LNG imports decreased

by $0.3/m BTU to reach $8.8/m BTU, and

the Price of

Chinese LNG imports decreased

by $2/m BTU to reach $7.5/m BTU.

Arab LNG exports to Japan, Korea and China

were about 3.754 million tons in July 2015 (a share of

33.7% of total imports).

Figure - 1

Weekly Average Spot Price of the OPEC Basket of Crudes 2014 - 2015

($/bbl)

On monthly basis,

OPEC Reference Basket

in August 2015, averaged

$45.5/bbl,

representing

a decrease of $8.7/bbl or

16.1% comparing with

previous month, and a

decrease of $55.3/bbl

or 54.9% from the same

month of previous year.

Enduring

oversupply

and the slowdown in the

Chinese economy, were

major stimulus for the

decrease in oil prices

during the month of July

2015, to reach near-

January lows.