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Volume 41 Issue 12

16

1. Oil Market

1. Prices

1-1Crude Oil Prices

Weekly average price of OPEC basket increased during the first week

of October 2015, recording $47.2/bbl, and decline thereafter, to reach its

lowest level of $43.4/bbl during the fourth week, as shown in

figure 1

:

Petroleum Developments in the World Market and Member Countries

*

*

Prepared by the Economics Department.

Key Indicators

In October 2015,

OPEC Reference Basket increased

by 0.4% or $0.2/bbl from the previous month level to

stand at $45/bbl.

World Oil Demand

in October 2015,

increased

by 0.2% or 0.2 million b/d from the previous month level

to reach95.8 million b/d.

World oil supplies

in October 2015,

increased

by 0.3% or 0.3 million b/d from the previous month level to

reach 98.4 million b/d.

US tight oil production

in October 2015,

decreased

by 1.5% to reach 5.2 million b/d, and

US oil rig count

decreased

by 44 rig from the previous month level to stand at 520 rig.

US crude oil imports

in September 2015,

decreased

by 4.2% from the previous month level to reach 7.3

million b/d, and

US product imports decreased

by

16.6% to reach about 1.9 million b/d.

OECD commercial inventories

in September 2015

increased

by 13 million barrels from the previous

month level to reach 2988 million barrels

,

and

Strategic inventories

in OECD-34, South Africa and

China

remained stable

at the same previous month level of 1856 million barrels.

The average spot price of natural gas

at the Henry Hub in October 2015

decreased

by $0.32/million BTU from

previous month level to reach $2.34/ million BTU.

The Price of Japanese LNG imports increased

in September 2015 by $0.5/m BTU to reach $9.6/m BTU,

the

Price of Korean LNG imports increased

by $0.4/m BTU to reach $9.6/m BTU, and

the Price of

Chinese LNG imports increased

by $0.2/m BTU to reach $7.4/m BTU.

Arab LNG exports to Japan, Korea and China

were about 3.417 million tons in September 2015 (a share

of 32.2% of total imports).

Figure - 1

Weekly Average Spot Price of the OPEC Basket of Crudes 2014 - 2015

($/bbl)

On

monthly

basis,

OPEC Reference Basket

in October 2015, averaged

$45/bbl, representing a

slightly increase of $0.2/

bbl or 0.4% comparing

with

previous

month,

and a decrease of $40/

bbl or 47.1% from the

same month of previous

year. Enduring oversupply

and the slowdown in the

Chinese economy, were

major stimulus for the

remaining of oil prices

almost unchanged during

the month of October 2015,

to reach near-January lows.