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Petroleum Devolopments

Volume 41 Issue 12

21

October

2015

September

2015

Change from

Sept.

2015

October

2014

Change from

October

2014

OECD Demand

46.6

46.0

0.6

46.4

0.2

Rest of the World

49.2

49.6

-0.4

47.7

1.5

World Demand

95.8

95.6

0.2

94.1

1.7

OPEC Supply:

38.8

39.1

-0.3

36.3

2.5

Crude Oil

32.0

32.3

-0.3

29.7

2.3

NGL’s & Cond.

6.8

6.8

0.0

6.6

0.2

Non-Opec Supply

57.4

56.8

0.6

55.5

1.9

Processing Gain

2.2

2.2

0.0

2.3

-0.1

World Supply

98.4

98.1

0.3

94.2

4.2

Balance

2.7

2.4

0.1

Source: Energy Intelligence Briefing November 4, 2015.

On the supply side, preliminary estimates show that world oil supplies

for October 2015 increased by 0.3% or 0.3 million b/d comparing with the

previous month level to reach 98.4 million b/d, a level that is 4.2 million

b/d higher than last year.

In October 2015, OPEC crude oil and NGLs/condensates total supplies

decreased by 0.8% or 0.3 million b/d comparing with the previous month

level to reach 38.8 million b/d, a level that is 2.5 million b/d higher than

last year. Whereas, Preliminary estimates show that Non-OPEC supplies

increased by 1% or 0.6 million b/d comparing with the previous month

level to reach 59.6 million b/d, a level that is 1.8 million b/d higher than

last year.

Preliminary estimates of the supply and demand for October 2015

reveal a surplus of 2.7 million b/d, compared to a surplus of 2.4 million

b/d in September 2015 and a surplus of 0.1 million b/d in October 2014, as

shown in

table (2)

and

figure (6)

:

Table 2

World Supply and Demand

(Million b/d)

Tables (7)

and

(8)

in the annex show world oil demand and supply for

the period 2013-2015.